Country for PR: United Kingdom
Contributor: PR Newswire Europe
Tuesday, June 30 2020 - 17:00
AsiaNet
The 2nd Edition of the Global Business Barometer Improves but Executives Still See the Economy and Their Businesses in the Survival Phase
LONDON, June 30, 2020 /PRNewswire-AsiaNet/--

- Executive sentiment about the three-month outlook for the global economy rose 
but remains pessimistic at -27.7 (out of a range of -50 to +50) 

- The single biggest swing in the barometer came in China, where executives' 
outlook for the domestic economy declined by 21.9 points 

- The most popular government action to help the economy and business recover, 
receiving 51% of responses, was to limit international travel

There are three broad stages to recovery from the kind of crisis we are 
experiencing now: survival, adaptation and recovery. The latest Global Business 
Barometer, conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit and supported by SAS, 
shows that as of late May executives believe we are still in the survival 
phase, although many have made adaptations to their operations, some of which 
may become permanent. 

Less pessimistic: The barometer reading for the 3-month outlook for the global 
economy rose 11.7 points from -39.4 to -27.7, a marked improvement from the 
first GBB in April but indicative of a recovery that could remain a long way 
off. Sentiment in Europe increased the most (from -40.5 to -27.3), followed 
closely by the Asia-Pacific and North America. Sentiment about the global 
economy among executives in the Middle East and Africa region, while still up, 
increased by only 6.9 points, the least among the five regions covered by the 
barometer. 

Sentiment in China falls: The biggest single swing in the barometer from April 
to May came in China, where the 3-month outlook for the economy fell by 21.9 
points. At the time of the first GBB in April, China looked to be over the 
worst of COVID-19 (or at least the worst of the first wave). That has clearly 
since changed, with the mood souring considerably on widespread downgrades to 
China forecasts and the Chinese government abandoning its annual GDP target for 
the first time in decades.

The road, less traveled: When asked what actions they would like to see 
governments take in the coming months to get the global economy and businesses 
back on track, "limit international travel" surged to the number one answer 
(51%) after ranking towards the bottom in our last GBB survey. This put it 
ahead of other options such as direct fiscal stimulus to consumers and tax 
cuts. Now that travel restrictions have been demonstrably effective in many 
instances against the spread, we see a mix of resignation and adaptation 
amongst executives on the issue. 

Coming to grips: There was an uptick in the percentage of GBB survey 
respondents answering that the global economic recovery will take "3 to 5 
years." In April, the figure stood at 30.8%. In May it was at 37.2%. All other 
options more or less held steady. 

About the research

The Global Business Barometer gauges sentiment towards current events and 
financial market uncertainty and explores how businesses are coping today and 
planning for the future. 

About The Economist Intelligence Unit

The Economist Intelligence Unit is the thought leadership, research and 
analysis division of The Economist Group and the world leader in global 
business intelligence for executives. We uncover novel and forward-looking 
perspectives with access to over 650 expert analysts and editors across 200 
countries worldwide. More information can be found on 
www.eiuperspectives.economist.com. 

Follow us on Twitter [https://twitter.com/TheEIU], 
LinkedIn [https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-economist-intelligence-unit/], 
and Facebook [https://www.facebook.com/TheEIU].

About SAS

SAS [http://www.sas.com/recover] is the leader in analytics. Through innovative 
software and services, SAS empowers and inspires customers around the world to 
transform data into intelligence. SAS gives you THE POWER TO KNOW(R).

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Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU)
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